{"id":4680,"date":"2025-12-25T17:18:19","date_gmt":"2025-12-25T09:18:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/?p=4680"},"modified":"2025-12-25T17:19:40","modified_gmt":"2025-12-25T09:19:40","slug":"science%e6%89%93%e8%84%b8%e8%b5%a2%e5%9c%a8%e8%b5%b7%e8%b7%91%e7%ba%bf%ef%bc%81%e5%b0%91%e5%b9%b4%e5%a4%a9%e6%89%8d90%e6%88%90%e5%b9%b4%e5%90%8e%e6%ad%a2%e6%ad%a5%e4%ba%8e%e9%a1%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/25\/science%e6%89%93%e8%84%b8%e8%b5%a2%e5%9c%a8%e8%b5%b7%e8%b7%91%e7%ba%bf%ef%bc%81%e5%b0%91%e5%b9%b4%e5%a4%a9%e6%89%8d90%e6%88%90%e5%b9%b4%e5%90%8e%e6%ad%a2%e6%ad%a5%e4%ba%8e%e9%a1%b6\/","title":{"rendered":"Science\u6253\u8138\u201c\u8d62\u5728\u8d77\u8dd1\u7ebf\u201d\uff01\u5c11\u5e74\u5929\u624d90%\u6210\u5e74\u540e\u6b62\u6b65\u4e8e\u9876\u5c16\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c34000\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u4eba\u624d\u6210\u957f\u8f68\u8ff9\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"4680\" class=\"elementor elementor-4680\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-070c0fa e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"070c0fa\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8ad345b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8ad345b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u201c\u4ece\u5c0f\u5c31\u8981\u8d62\u5728\u8d77\u8dd1\u7ebf\u201d\u8fd9\u5957\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u88ab\u9876\u520aScience\u6700\u65b0\u8bba\u6587\u72e0\u72e0\u6253\u4e86\u8138\u3002<\/p><p>\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7efc\u5408\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc734000\u540d\u56fd\u9645\u9876\u5c16\u4eba\u624d\u7684\u6210\u957f\u8f68\u8ff9\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u3001\u5178\u4f5c\u66f2\u5bb6\u3001\u5965\u8fd0\u51a0\u519b\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e16\u754c\u9876\u7ea7\u68cb\u624b\u3002<\/p><p>\u7ed3\u8bba\u98a0\u8986\u4eba\u4eec\u89c2\u5ff5\uff1a<\/p><p>\u5c11\u5e74\u5929\u624d\u5f80\u5f80\u6b62\u6b65\u4e8e\u9876\u5c16\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u548c\u6700\u7ec8\u767b\u9876\u7684\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u8fd190%\u4e0d\u662f\u540c\u4e00\u6279\u4eba\u3002<\/p><p>\u800c\u6700\u7ec8\u8fbe\u5230\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4eba\u624d\uff0c\u5728\u65e9\u5e74\u9636\u6bb5\u8868\u73b0\u53cd\u800c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u53ea\u8fbe\u5230\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ea7\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u540c\u9f84\u4eba\u3002<\/p><p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q4.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/2ff467cbaa91471c8072788e128eccc7.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"410\" \/><\/p><p>\u4f5c\u8005\u56e2\u961f\u6765\u81ea\u5fb7\u56fd\u51ef\u6cfd\u65af\u52b3\u6ed5\u5de5\u4e1a\u5927\u5b66\uff08RPTU Kaiserslautern\uff09\u4f53\u80b2\u79d1\u5b66\u7cfb\u3001\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7cfb\u3001\u666e\u6e21\u5927\u5b66\u5fc3\u7406\u79d1\u5b66\u7cfb\u3002<\/p><p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u7efc\u5408\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u591a\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u827a\u672f\u3001\u4f53\u80b2\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q7.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/77458b8bd5c44f67a158c54d13e5007a.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"217\" \/><\/p><p>\u201c\u5929\u624d\u5c11\u5e74\u201d\u957f\u5927\u540e\u53bb\u54ea\u4e86<\/p><p>\u957f\u4e45\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5b66\u754c\u5bf9\u4eba\u624d\u57f9\u517b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u8981\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u89c2\u70b9\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\uff0c\u65e9\u671f\u8868\u73b0\u8d8a\u597d\u3001\u4e13\u9879\u7ec3\u4e60\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u540e\u671f\u6210\u5c31\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002<\/p><p>\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u5b66\u6821\u3001\u97f3\u4e50\u5b66\u9662\u548c\u9752\u8bad\u5b66\u9662\u4e5f\u636e\u6b64\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e86\u9009\u62d4\u673a\u5236\uff1a\u6311\u51fa\u8868\u73b0\u6700\u597d\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u7528\u9ad8\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u4e13\u9879\u8bad\u7ec3\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u201c\u52a0\u901f\u201d\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6210\u957f\u3002<\/p><p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u5957\u903b\u8f91\u5728\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u9876\u5c16\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e2d\u662f\u5426\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u4ece\u672a\u88ab\u7cfb\u7edf\u9a8c\u8bc1\u8fc7\u3002<\/p><p>\u901a\u8fc7\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6570\u636e\u8ffd\u8e2a\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u610f\u5916\u7684\u7b54\u6848\uff1a\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4f53\u80b2\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u8fd8\u662f\u5b66\u672f\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u201c\u5c16\u5b50\u201d\u548c\u6210\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u201c\u9876\u5c16\u4eba\u624d\u201d\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u91cd\u5408\u5ea6\u90fd\u4f4e\u5f97\u60ca\u4eba\u3002<\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q4.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/b099ffdb9c9e44599fd96d4194783946.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"468\" \/><\/p><p>\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u9879\u6db5\u76d6\u8d85\u8fc75\u4e07\u540d\u00a0\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\u7684\u5143\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\uff0c82%\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u7ea7\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\u5728\u6210\u5e74\u540e\u672a\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u540c\u7b49\u7ea7\u522b\uff0c\u800c72%\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u7ea7\u6210\u5e74\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\u5728\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u65f6\u671f\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u8fbe\u5230\u8fc7\u56fd\u9645\u7ea7\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p><p>\u5c06\u4e24\u7ec4\u6570\u636e\u7ed3\u5408\u8ba1\u7b97\u540e\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u56fd\u9645\u7ea7\u9009\u624b\u548c\u6210\u5e74\u56fd\u9645\u7ea7\u9009\u624b\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u91cd\u53e0\u7387\u53ea\u6709\u7ea613%\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd190%\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4e24\u62e8\u4eba\u3002<\/p><p>\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6570\u636e\u66f4\u4e3a\u7cbe\u786e\u3002<\/p><p>\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8ffd\u8e2a\u4e86\u56fd\u9645\u68cb\u8054FIDE*2001\u5e74\u81f32006\u5e74\u95f4\u6240\u670914\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e16\u754c\u524d\u5341\u7684\u68cb\u624b\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u8ddf\u8e2a\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec32\u5c81\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u56de\u6eaf\u4e862015\u5e74\u81f32024\u5e74\u95f4\u6240\u6709\u6210\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u524d\u5341\u68cb\u624b\u7684\u65e9\u5e74\u6392\u540d\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5c11\u5e74\u524d\u5341\u548c\u6210\u5e74\u524d\u5341\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u91cd\u53e0\u7387\u540c\u6837\u53ea\u6709\u7ea611%\u3002<\/p><p>\u5b66\u672f\u9886\u57df\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u540c\u6837\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u3002\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8ffd\u8e2a\u4e866136\u540d\u5b66\u751f\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u9876\u5c16\u9ad8\u4e2d\u6bd5\u4e1a\u751f\u548c\u540e\u6765\u8fdb\u5165\u9876\u5c16\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u5b66\u751f\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u7ea690%\u662f\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4eba\u3002<\/p><p>\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u9488\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5219\u8868\u660e\uff0c12\u5c81\u65f6\u8ba4\u77e5\u80fd\u529b\u6392\u540d\u524d1%\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u4e0e35\u5c81\u5de6\u53f3\u6536\u5165\u6392\u540d\u524d5%\u7684\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u4eba\u7fa4\u91cd\u53e0\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a1%\u3002<\/p><p>\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u9009\u624b\u7684\u53cd\u5e38\u6210\u957f\u66f2\u7ebf<\/p><p>\u65e2\u7136\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6700\u7ec8\u7684\u9876\u5c16\u4eba\u624d\u5e76\u975e\u5c11\u5e74\u5929\u624d\uff0c\u90a3\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6210\u957f\u8f68\u8ff9\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\uff1f<\/p><p>\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86508\u540d\u00a0\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\uff08\u6210\u5e74\u56fd\u9645\u5956\u724c\u5f97\u4e3b\u6216\u4e16\u754c\u524d\u5341\uff09\u548c420\u540d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ea7\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\uff08\u4ec5\u8fbe\u5230\u56fd\u5bb6\u524d\u5341\u6216\u56fd\u5185\u9876\u7ea7\u8054\u8d5b\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\u4ece14\u5c81\u523022\u5c81\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u53d1\u5c55\u66f2\u7ebf\u3002<\/p><p>\u7ed3\u679c\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u8fbe\u5230\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\uff0c\u5728\u65e9\u5e74\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u53cd\u800c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u53ea\u8fbe\u5230\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ea7\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u540c\u9f84\u4eba\u3002<\/p><p>\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8f68\u8ff9\u4e5f\u7b26\u5408\u8fd9\u4e00\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5206\u6790\u4e86330\u540d\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u548c\u5316\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u7684\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u4e0e1595\u540d\u66fe\u83b7\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u63d0\u540d\u4f46\u672a\u83b7\u5956\u8005\u5728\u83b7\u5956\u6216\u63d0\u540d\u524d28\u5e74\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u5f15\u7528\u6392\u540d\u3002<\/p><p>\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u5728\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6daf\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u53cd\u800c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u6700\u7ec8\u672a\u80fd\u83b7\u5956\u7684\u88ab\u63d0\u540d\u8005\u3002<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q4.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/cb1c85e81d77454995e5db0e1b2271fc.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"493\" \/><\/p><p>\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u7684\u6570\u636e\u540c\u6837\u5370\u8bc1\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\uff082015\u5e744\u6708\u81f32024\u5e743\u6708\uff09\u4e16\u754c\u6392\u540d\u524d\u4e09\u7684\u68cb\u624b\uff0c\u5728\u5dc5\u5cf0\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6bd4\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u56db\u5230\u7b2c\u5341\u7684\u68cb\u624bElo\u5206\u9ad8\u51fa48\u4e2a\u3002\u4f46\u8ffd\u6eaf\u523014\u5c81\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u540e\u6765\u767b\u9876\u524d\u4e09\u7684\u68cb\u624b\u53cd\u800c\u6bd4\u7b2c\u56db\u5230\u7b2c\u5341\u540d\u7684\u68cb\u624bElo\u5206\u4f4e62\u3002<\/p><p>\u7b80\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u9876\u5c16\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u5185\u90e8\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\u65f6\uff0c\u6210\u5e74\u5dc5\u5cf0\u8868\u73b0\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u8868\u73b0\u4e4b\u95f4\u5448\u73b0\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p><p>\u65e9\u5e74\u53d1\u5c55\u6162\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u5bb9\u6613\u8d70\u5f97\u8d8a\u8fdc\u3002<\/p><p>\u201c\u5c11\u7ec3\u4e13\u9879\u3001\u591a\u73a9\u522b\u7684\u201d\u624d\u662f\u9876\u5c16\u914d\u65b9<\/p><p>\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u66f4\u5177\u98a0\u8986\u6027\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u00a0\u9884\u6d4b\u65e9\u671f\u6210\u5c31\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u6700\u7ec8\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u6210\u5c31\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u65b9\u5411\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u53cd\u3002<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q5.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/af60fb9426654298a7ca066d5893905b.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"442\" \/><\/p><p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u4f18\u79c0\u8005\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5171\u540c\u7279\u5f81\u662f\uff1a\u66f4\u65e9\u5f00\u59cb\u4e13\u9879\u8bad\u7ec3\u3001\u66f4\u65e9\u8fdb\u5165\u7cbe\u82f1\u4eba\u624d\u57f9\u517b\u9879\u76ee\u3001\u66f4\u65e9\u8fbe\u5230\u5404\u7c7b\u201c\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u201d\uff08\u5982\u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u52a0\u5168\u56fd\u6216\u56fd\u9645\u6bd4\u8d5b\uff09\u3001\u5728\u4e3b\u9879\u4e0a\u6295\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u7ec3\u4e60\u65f6\u95f4\u3001\u800c\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7ec3\u4e60\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u5c11\u3002<\/p><p>\u4f46\u5728\u6210\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e2d\uff0c\u89c4\u5f8b\u5b8c\u5168\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u3002<\/p><p>\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\u76f8\u6bd4\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ea7\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\u5f00\u59cb\u4e3b\u9879\u8bad\u7ec3\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u66f4\u665a\uff0c\u8fdb\u5165\u7cbe\u82f1\u57f9\u517b\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u66f4\u665a\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u5404\u7c7b\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u4e5f\u66f4\u665a\u3002<\/p><p>\u66f4\u5173\u952e\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u4e3b\u9879\u4e0a\u7d2f\u79ef\u7684\u7ec3\u4e60\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u8fd0\u52a8\u9879\u76ee\u4e0a\u7684\u7ec3\u4e60\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u591a\u3002<\/p><p>\u5e73\u5747\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\u5728\u7ae5\u5e74\u548c\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u65f6\u671f\u4ece\u4e8b\u8fc7\u4e24\u9879\u5176\u4ed6\u8fd0\u52a8\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u7ea69\u5e74\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c4\u5f8b\u5728\u6240\u6709\u5965\u8fd0\u4f1a\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\u90fd\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q0.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/5f46eb728b084cbf90c5de3b12fe8122.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"588\" \/><\/p><p>\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u548c\u97f3\u4e50\u754c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e00\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/p><p>\u4e00\u9879\u9488\u5bf9\u5fb7\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u00a0\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u76f8\u6bd4\u4ec5\u83b7\u5f97\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ea7\u6700\u9ad8\u79d1\u5b66\u5956\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u5b66\u751f\u5956\u5b66\u91d1\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u66f4\u4f4e\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u9996\u4e2a\u6b63\u6559\u6388\u804c\u4f4d\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u66f4\u665a\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u5b9e\u8df5\u4ee5\u53ca\u79d1\u5b66\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u6d3b\u52a8\u00a0\uff08\u5982\u827a\u672f\u3001\u97f3\u4e50\u3001\u624b\u5de5\u827a\u7b49\uff09\u65b9\u9762\u6295\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u3002<\/p><p>\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u6db5\u76d6510\u540d\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u548c2900\u540d\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u5b66\u4f1a\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u9662\u58eb\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e5f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u4e1a\u4f59\u7231\u597d\u548c\u804c\u4e1a\u5b9e\u8df5\u660e\u663e\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e30\u5bcc\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u591a\u51fa\u4e24\u9879\u3002<\/p><p>\u97f3\u4e50\u9886\u57df\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u5bf9\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a59\u4f4d\u6700\u8d1f\u76db\u540d\u7684\u6b4c\u5267\u4f5c\u66f2\u5bb6\u7684911\u90e8\u6b4c\u5267\u7684\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p><p>\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4e00\u90e8\u6b4c\u5267\u7684\u957f\u671f\u6210\u529f\u4e0e\u4f5c\u66f2\u5bb6\u6b64\u524d\u521b\u4f5c\u7684\u540c\u7c7b\u578b\u6b4c\u5267\u6570\u91cf\u5448\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0e\u5176\u6b64\u524d\u521b\u4f5c\u7684\u6240\u6709\u7c7b\u578b\u4f5c\u54c1\u7684\u603b\u6570\u5448\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p><p>\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8de8\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u591a\u5143\u521b\u4f5c\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5355\u4e00\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u4e13\u6ce8\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u9884\u6d4b\u6770\u4f5c\u8bde\u751f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p><p>\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u7528\u5143\u5206\u6790\u6c47\u603b\u4e86\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u5b9e\u8df5\u548c\u65e9\u671f\u7f13\u6162\u8fdb\u6b65\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u6210\u5c31\u7684\u6548\u5e94\u91cf\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u5728\u4f53\u80b2\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u8fd8\u662f\u97f3\u4e50\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6548\u5e94\u91cf\u7684\u5927\u5c0f\u548c\u65b9\u5411\u90fd\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e00\u81f4\uff08Cohen\u2019s d = 0.39\u52300.58\uff09\uff0c\u4e14\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u4e0d\u5177\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\u3002<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q0.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/509008c625a1405f8b5112e5d5a0592f.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"214\" \/><\/p><p>\u96be\u9053\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u4eba\u624d\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u53ef\u80fd\u9075\u5faa\u67d0\u79cd\u8de8\u9886\u57df\u7684\u666e\u904d\u89c4\u5f8b\uff1f<\/p><p>\u4e09\u4e2a\u5047\u8bf4\u4e0e\u5b9e\u8df5\u542f\u793a<\/p><p>\u65e2\u7136\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u6846\u67b6\u65e0\u6cd5\u89e3\u91ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e09\u4e2a\u5019\u9009\u5047\u8bf4\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u8d77\u70b9\u3002<\/p><p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u00a0\u201c\u641c\u7d22\u5339\u914d\u5047\u8bf4\u201d\uff08search-and-match hypothesis\uff09\uff0c\u6e90\u81ea\u52b3\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff1a<\/p><p>\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u627e\u5230\u6700\u9002\u5408\u81ea\u5df1\u5929\u8d4b\u548c\u504f\u597d\u7684\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u800c\u627e\u5230\u201c\u6700\u4f18\u5339\u914d\u201d\u7684\u4eba\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u8fbe\u5230\u9876\u5c16\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p><p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u662f\u00a0\u201c\u589e\u5f3a\u5b66\u4e60\u8d44\u672c\u5047\u8bf4\u201d\uff08\u00a0enhanced-learning-capital hypothesis\uff09\uff0c\u6e90\u81ea\u5b66\u4e60\u8fc1\u79fb\u7406\u8bba\uff1a<\/p><p>\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u591a\u6837\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u7ecf\u5386\u53ef\u80fd\u4ece\u4e09\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u6269\u5c55\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u672a\u6765\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5b66\u4e60\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7075\u6d3b\u601d\u7ef4\u548c\u8de8\u9886\u57df\u6574\u5408\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u589e\u5f3a\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u5b66\u4e60\u60c5\u5883\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e2e\u52a9\u5b66\u4e60\u8005\u7406\u89e3\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u81ea\u5df1\u6700\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/p><p>\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u662f\u00a0\u201c\u6709\u9650\u98ce\u9669\u5047\u8bf4\u201d\uff08limited-risks hypothesis\uff09\uff1a<\/p><p>\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u5b9e\u8df5\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u8f83\u5c11\u7684\u4e13\u9879\u8bad\u7ec3\uff09\u53ef\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6daf\u4e2d\u5404\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u7d2f\u79ef\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8fc7\u5ea6\u8bad\u7ec3\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u5026\u6020\u3001\u8fc7\u9ad8\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u6210\u672c\uff08\u5982\u727a\u7272\u793e\u4ea4\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u7231\u597d\uff09*\u3001\u5bf9\u67d0\u4e2a\u4e0d\u518d\u70ed\u7231\u7684\u9886\u57df\u7684\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6295\u5165\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f53\u80b2\u548c\u97f3\u4e50\u9886\u57df\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u8fc7\u52b3\u635f\u4f24\u3002<\/p><p>\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5bf9\u73b0\u884c\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u4eba\u624d\u57f9\u517b\u4f53\u7cfb\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8d28\u7591\u3002<\/p><blockquote><p>\u5f53\u6839\u636e\u65e9\u671f\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u9009\u62d4\u4eba\u624d\u65f6\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u53ea\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u6210\u5e74\u9876\u5c16\u6210\u5c31\u8005\u4e2d\u7684\u5c11\u6570\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9876\u5c16\u6210\u5c31\u8005\u843d\u9009\u4e86\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote><p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u57f9\u8bad\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u6559\u7ec3\u548c\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u9f13\u52b1\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u5728\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u5355\u4e00\u9886\u57df\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5148\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u8fdb\u884c\u6301\u7eed\u6570\u5e74\u7684\u8ba4\u771f\u7ec3\u4e60\u3002<\/p><p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u8db3\u7403\u6559\u7ec3\u53ef\u4ee5\u9f13\u52b1\u7403\u5458\u6bcf\u5468\u62bd\u51fa\u4e24\u6b21\u8bad\u7ec3\u65f6\u95f4\u53bb\u4ece\u4e8b\u7bee\u7403\u3001\u7f51\u7403\u6216\u4f53\u64cd\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u8fd0\u52a8\u3002\u94a2\u7434\u8001\u5e08\u53ef\u4ee5\u9f13\u52b1\u5b66\u751f\u540c\u65f6\u5b66\u4e60\u957f\u7b1b\u3001\u5c0f\u63d0\u7434\u6216\u6253\u51fb\u4e50\u3002\u7269\u7406\u7ade\u8d5b\u8f85\u5bfc\u8001\u5e08\u53ef\u4ee5\u5efa\u8bae\u5b66\u751f\u540c\u65f6\u53c2\u52a0\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u6216\u54f2\u5b66\u7684\u8bfe\u5916\u9879\u76ee\u7b49\u3002<\/p><p>\u8bba\u6587\u5728\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a<\/p><blockquote><p>\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u4e2d\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u7740\u4eba\u7c7b\u6700\u9ad8\u6210\u5c31\u7684\u83b7\u5f97\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u5e7f\u6cdb\u751a\u81f3\u666e\u904d\u7684\u5e95\u5c42\u539f\u7406\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote><p>One More Thing<\/p><p>\u8bba\u6587\u53d1\u8868\u540e\uff0c\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u6fc0\u70c8\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p><p>\u5929\u8d4b\u548c\u52aa\u529b\u5230\u5e95\u54ea\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\uff1f<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q3.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/19512f84e1bc4fb28e3f50f715cd805d.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"222\" \/><\/p><p>\u53c8\u6216\u8005\u6700\u540e\u6cef\u7136\u4f17\u4eba\u7684\u795e\u7ae5\u672c\u6765\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7ed3\u5c40\uff1f<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q9.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/c48db1a149e042d0af2dd9bdbb18728b.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"212\" \/><\/p><p>\u4e5f\u6709\u4eba\u8d28\u7591\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6838\u5fc3\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/p><p>UC\u4f2f\u514b\u5229\u6559\u6388Alex Dimakis\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u53ef\u80fd\u72af\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u9519\u8bef\u3002<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q5.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/df462b0b19c14ae6af151c0ccb79ce82.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"221\" \/><\/p><p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u57fa\u7840\u7387\u8c2c\u8bef\uff08Base-rate fallacy\uff09\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u786e\u5b9e\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u7cbe\u82f1\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u6210\u4e3a\u9876\u5c16\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f\u666e\u901a\u4eba\u7fa4\u768449\u500d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u4fe1\u606f\u88ab\u57cb\u5728\u4e86\u7b2c6\u52307\u9875\u7684\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6458\u8981\u548c\u7ed3\u8bba\u90e8\u5206\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u5145\u5206\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p><p>\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\u5e74\u8f7b\u65f6\u7684\u9876\u5c16\u8005\u548c\u6210\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u9876\u5c16\u8005\u4e0d\u662f\u540c\u4e00\u6279\u4eba\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u610f\u6599\u4e4b\u4e2d\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u975e\u7cbe\u82f1\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u57fa\u6570\u672c\u6765\u5c31\u5927\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p><p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u66f4\u5fae\u5999\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u4f2f\u514b\u68ee\u6096\u8bba\uff08Berkson\u2019s paradox\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u53eb\u5bf9\u649e\u504f\u5dee\uff08Collider Bias\uff09\u3002<\/p><p>\u8bba\u6587\u58f0\u79f0\u201c\u5728\u6700\u9ad8\u6210\u5c31\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u5185\u90e8\uff0c\u5dc5\u5cf0\u8868\u73b0\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u8868\u73b0\u5448\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u6070\u6070\u662f\u4f2f\u514b\u68ee\u6096\u8bba\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/p><p>\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5316\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u6765\u7406\u89e3\uff1a\u5047\u8bbe\u8981\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u540d\u6210\u529f\u7684\u6f14\u5458\uff0c\u4f60\u5fc5\u987b\u8981\u4e48\u957f\u5f97\u6781\u5176\u597d\u770b\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u6781\u5176\u6709\u624d\u534e\u3002\u518d\u5047\u8bbe\u5728\u666e\u901a\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\uff0c\u624d\u534e\u548c\u5916\u8c8c\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u72ec\u7acb\u3001\u4e0d\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u3002<\/p><p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u53ea\u89c2\u5bdf\u6210\u529f\u6f14\u5458\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7fa4\u4f53\uff0c\u4f60\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u624d\u534e\u548c\u5916\u8c8c\u4e4b\u95f4\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u957f\u5f97\u8d8a\u597d\u770b\u7684\u6f14\u5458\u4f3c\u4e4e\u8d8a\u6ca1\u624d\u534e\uff0c\u8d8a\u6709\u624d\u534e\u7684\u6f14\u5458\u4f3c\u4e4e\u957f\u5f97\u8d8a\u666e\u901a\u3002<\/p><p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u4efb\u4f55\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5b83\u53ea\u662f\u9009\u62e9\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u4ea7\u7269\uff0c\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u88ab\u5916\u63a8\u5230\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u7fa4\u3002<\/p><p>Alex Dimakis\u8fd8\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u8f85\u52a9\u8bf4\u660e\uff1a\u5728NBA\u7403\u5458\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f97\u5206\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u8eab\u9ad8\u5448\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p><p>\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u8981\u8fdb\u5165NBA\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u8eab\u9ad8\u6709\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u64c5\u957f\u5f97\u5206\u3002\u8eab\u9ad8\u4e00\u822c\u4f46\u80fd\u8fdbNBA\u7684\u7403\u5458\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u5728\u5f97\u5206\u80fd\u529b\u4e0a\u6781\u4e3a\u7a81\u51fa\uff1b\u800c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5f97\u5206\u80fd\u529b\u4e00\u822c\u4f46\u80fd\u8fdbNBA\u7684\u7403\u5458\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u5728\u8eab\u9ad8\u4e0a\u6781\u4e3a\u7a81\u51fa\u3002<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q9.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/6db83564c65647f4ae1de135eb6e0df0.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"364\" \/><\/p><p>\u73b0\u5728\u4e89\u8bba\u7684\u5173\u952e\u70b9\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\uff0c\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u8868\u73b0\u597d\u548c\u6210\u5e74\u8868\u73b0\u597d\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u5230\u5e95\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u72ec\u7acb\u4e0d\u76f8\u5173\u7684\uff1f<\/p><p>\u4f46\u65e0\u8bba\u600e\u4e48\u6837\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u662f\u7ed9\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u542f\u53d1\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6559\u80b2\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u3002<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/q8.itc.cn\/q_70\/images03\/20251224\/b16c96922c44462bab8f5aed0481c4e2.png\" width=\"640\" height=\"238\" \/><\/p><p>\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u4eba\u8054\u60f3\u5230\u4e86\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u68a6\u6668 \u53d1\u81ea \u51f9\u975e\u5bfa<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4680","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4680"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4680\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4688,"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4680\/revisions\/4688"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4682"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ihub1.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}